Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000760 0.000814 0.000870 0.000933 0.001003 0.001078 0.001165
2026-01-04 0.000661 0.000731 0.000808 0.000899 0.001005 0.001124 0.001271
2026-01-11 0.000605 0.000685 0.000775 0.000887 0.001021 0.001179 0.001383
2026-01-18 0.000566 0.000653 0.000754 0.000882 0.001041 0.001236 0.001497
2026-01-25 0.000609 0.000719 0.000851 0.001025 0.001251 0.001542 0.001953
2026-02-01 0.000563 0.000673 0.000808 0.000988 0.001228 0.001545 0.002008
2026-02-08 0.000528 0.000638 0.000775 0.000961 0.001215 0.001559 0.002076
2026-02-15 0.000503 0.000614 0.000755 0.000950 0.001221 0.001596 0.002179
2026-02-22 0.000476 0.000586 0.000727 0.000926 0.001208 0.001606 0.002241
2026-03-01 0.000448 0.000555 0.000695 0.000893 0.001178 0.001589 0.002259
2026-03-08 0.000430 0.000538 0.000678 0.000882 0.001179 0.001616 0.002347
2026-03-15 0.000410 0.000516 0.000656 0.000861 0.001164 0.001617 0.002393
2026-03-22 0.000380 0.000481 0.000616 0.000815 0.001114 0.001570 0.002367
2026-03-29 0.000357 0.000455 0.000588 0.000786 0.001089 0.001560 0.002405
2026-04-05 0.000342 0.000440 0.000574 0.000776 0.001092 0.001593 0.002522
2026-04-12 0.000331 0.000429 0.000564 0.000773 0.001103 0.001641 0.002672
2026-04-19 0.000356 0.000470 0.000632 0.000891 0.001321 0.002061 0.003604
2026-04-26 0.000337 0.000448 0.000606 0.000861 0.001288 0.002038 0.003638
2026-05-03 0.000322 0.000430 0.000585 0.000839 0.001269 0.002037 0.003718
2026-05-10 0.000311 0.000418 0.000573 0.000829 0.001270 0.002073 0.003886
2026-05-17 0.000299 0.000403 0.000556 0.000809 0.001253 0.002074 0.003972
2026-05-24 0.000285 0.000386 0.000534 0.000782 0.001219 0.002039 0.003970
2026-05-31 0.000276 0.000376 0.000523 0.000773 0.001218 0.002068 0.004127